Hughesair (Inflection Point)

Retired physician and air taxi operator, science writer and part time assistant professor, these editorials cover a wide range of topics. Mostly non political, mostly true, I write more from a lifetime of experience and from research, more science than convention. Subjects cover medicine, Alaska aviation, economics, technology and an occasional book review. Globalization or Democracy documents the historical roots of Oligarchy, the road to colonialism and tyranny

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Location: Homer, Alaska, United States

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Friday, February 10, 2006

Trade Deficit

Let’s be pragmatic about this. The bigger trade deficit means greater flow of foreign capital into our equities and bond market. It will take a day or two for the street to catch up with this fact and other encouraging liquidity figures, so the news is not all bad!
The GDP is 12.479 trillion, up 6.35% year over.
National debit comes in at 8.33 trillion today, up 7.54%.
Total tax revenue year to date amounts to .722 trillion, compared to year over +9.68%
Month to date .048 t = +16.1% over the same date a year ago.
Yesterday’s receipts = .0063t, a whopping 250% over 2/8 last year.
All else being equal, which of course it never is, this tax collection picture correlates with greater velocity in the economy thus greater available capital. Watch the market bounce. Give it two to four days, more or less, but don’t bet the house.

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