Hughesair (Inflection Point)

Retired physician and air taxi operator, science writer and part time assistant professor, these editorials cover a wide range of topics. Mostly non political, mostly true, I write more from experience than from research and more from science than convention. Subjects cover medicine, Alaska aviation, economics, technology and an occasional book review. The Floatplane book is out there. I am currently working on Hippocrates a History of Medicine and Globalism. Enjoy!

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Location: Homer, Alaska, United States

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Friday, October 09, 2020

5th Column

You would have had to have been around at the beginning of WWII
to appreciate the degree of support US media, Wall Street and even  Lindbergh gave to Hitler’s totalitarian regime. The intellectual elite including communists called for a totalitarian end to the messy rioting, arson and labor disputes, a new normalization where workers and industry could thrive, supported by the state. “In death all are equal.”

Tuesday, October 06, 2020

Death rate COVID19

Death rate by age

5-17.     0.1%

18-29   0.5%

30-39.  1.3%

40-49.  3.2%

50-64.  15.6%

65-74.  21.2%

75-84.  26.5%

85+.       31.7%

CDC Oct 6, 2020

JHU   2.81% deaths / cases

    0.06368% deaths/ US pop

When we plot today’s deaths against the average new cases five to ten days ago, we do see a drop in percentage deaths per case to around 1%.

The total deaths against total cases of 2.81% would  be falsely high if there are many unreported cases. Improved treatment modalities may improve outcomes as well. The increased death rate in older persons, however, remains truly frightening. 

Sunday, September 06, 2020

Idealogical Subversion, a postscript

Half way through my 13th editing, I found Yuri Alexandrovich Bezmenov’s lecture on YouTube. Bezmenov, 1939-1993, aka Thomas David Schuman was a KGB defector to Canada by way of the CIA. Yuri’s lecture on Russian subversion took me back to my time during the Korean War, dealing with survival and intelligence. I had not thought about Russian espionage in nearly 70. Years.


In writing Globalization or Democracy, it was objectively evident that Globalism in its present form was destroying our Democracy as well as the economy. The role of the CCP in subversion became dramatically evident, but Russia’s long-standing subversion and propaganda were long forgotten, and I thought, naively, a thing of the past. Yuri’s lecture on Communist subversion, euphemistically called “active measures.” And its apparent high success rate, came as a wakeup call.


What was evident, was the degree of political polarization, a seemingly inexplicable level of hate and an absence of humor. Furthermore, those embracing the hate and humorless conflict and confrontation, seemed incapable of acknowledging hard facts and evidence seen right before their eyes. I could see the rejection of American institutions and rioting at the end of the war in Vietnam as could millions of veterans. However, the KGB’s role in continued ideological subversion was less evident.


After studying political science at the University of Toronto, Yuri worked for the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation in Montreal; he did freelance writing under the alias of Thomas Schuman. Whether due to Russian threats or not, Schuman moved to Los Angeles. In 1984, Yuri gave an interview with Edward Griffin, “Soviet Subversion of the World Free Press.” The YouTube video, in clear and graphic terms, outlined 85% of the KGB budget directed towards disinformation and ideological subversion. Bezmenov cited the outstanding success rate of subversion in country after country and how Russia continues to focus ideological subversion against the US and the West. Bezmenov described the long timeline of Russia’s strategy of subversion that fit like a glove to the destabilization that evolved in the US. On a black board Bezmenov outlines Russia’s 4 stages of conquest: First Demoralization, a 20-year program to reeducate and brainwash a generation of youth; Destabilization, the Vietnam protestors are now teachers and legislators questioning the meaning of equality, our Constitution, capitalism even morality; and now Crisis, with rioting, looting and chaos on the streets, and a breakdown of law and order; and lastly Normalization, wherein Marxism might seem a better alternative than war, civil-war or revolution. With the CCP, its regimentation, equality, mind control and dystopia at the cost of freedom. 


Every American and every high school student should listen to Yuri’s lecture; his words stand as a dire warning and as prophetic as the writing of Thomas Pain. Yuri claims it takes 20 years to brainwash a generation of students to the point of destabilization. Russia apparently corrupted our education system for more like 70 years, undermining American values, not just education, but political, legislative, cultural, religious and legal – even military, sewing conflict and discord, where ever it could, along the way.


What’s more alarming, the Peoples Liberation Army and the Chinese Communist Party appear to be far more efficient at the subversion than the KGB or todays SVR and FAPSI and in a much shorter time, doing far more damage with a takeover of Globalization, the Corona virus and infiltration of all elements of our society. According to Christopher Wray, Director of the FBI, China is now a far greater threat than Russia, with greater infiltration of the US media, more sleepers, PPL operatives and financially compromised US leadership from the top right down to the local level. 


If we look at the level of hatred against ourselves as a measure of the subversion, we find it everywhere. Not a political issue anymore, both sides seem radicalized to one degree or another. Conflict that we rage against ourselves was the Communist goal. It does not matter the subject. The humorless hatred dominates media, schools, legislature and now the street, a Marxist wet dream. 


Bezmenov visited his former wife and children in Montréal in 1993. He died of a “massive heart attack”[?] two weeks later. Bezmenov’s lecture and books are studied by the Joint Special Operations University (JSOU), the University of Pennsylvania’s Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement, by Michael Carpenter, former deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense and by Yale professor Asha Rangappa and now reemerges on YouTube. 


Bezmenov’s books include: No Novosti Is Good News, World Thought Police, Black Is Beautiful, Communism Is Not. In his book, Love Letter to America 1984, Yuri suggests, it will take 20 years to reeducate a new generation of youth and to ferret out the sleepers and financially compromised supporters of Communist normalization. I would add a reeducation in citizenship the constitution and humor.

Saturday, August 22, 2020

Early Stage Cancer Detection / Blood or Urine Sample

 Cancer cells have specific epigenetic methylation patterns which can potentially identify many cancers.* Current study shows accuracy detecting cases of renal cell carcinoma vs bladder cancer and detecting gliomas by plasma methylation patterns.

If such epigenetic studies can lead to the early diagnosis of different cancers with blood or urine samples, it will result in a significant advance in clinical care and early screening, if not a test made directly available to patients.

*JW Gen Med, Feb 1 2019


Friday, August 21, 2020


 A generation or more grew up with demoralization and brainwashing. Teachers provide an education of hate and Victimology driven by their own post-Vietnam rejection of American institutions and values. Communist subversion further advances and finances the subversion, but much of the existential hate, we do to ourselves. What is the antidote? Bezmenov, a KGB operative who defected to Canada in 1970 warned of the massive KGB funding of subversion, its success in other countries:and it’s focus on the US.

“Once demoralization is completed, the second stage of ideological brainwashing is "destabilization". During this two-to-five-year period, asserted Bezmenov, what matters is the targeting of essential structural elements of a nation: economy, (domestic and) foreign relations, and defense systems. Basically, the subverter (Russia and now China) would look to destabilize every one of those areas in the United States, considerably weakening it. 

The third stage would be "crisis". It would take only up to six weeks to send a country into crisis, explained Bezmenov. The crisis would bring "a violent change of power, structure, and economy" and will be followed by the last stage, "normalization." That's when your country is basically taken over, living under a new ideology and reality.”

We now see rioting, arson and looting, the consequences of this new religion of hate, a destabilization promoted by Communism the war in Vietnam and now more masterfully by the CCP. 

BLM, ANTIF, conveniently COVID19, Globalism, and a political divide, drive the crisis. How we respond to this challenge, defines our future. Will it be education, history, civics, love, humor and music or Chinese dystopia?

Bezmenov, Yuri (1984). "Soviet Subversion of the Free-World Press: A Conversation with Yuri Bezmenov" (YouTube) (Interview). Interviewed by G. Edward Griffin. Westlake Village, CA. Retrieved 2020-07-08

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Capitalism & Adam Smith

Capitalism has been magical for creating wealth and opportunity for the US especially in its ability to attract venture capital and finance innovations and big ideas. The down side comes with the implied shareholder mandate that corporat management choose the most profitable alternative with the widest marginal return for short term gain, often without regard for labor or moral outcome. Taxation as a remedy and over regulation, choke off the magic of corporate growth and competition while doing little for the shareholders, employees or customers.
            In the long run, however, employee safety, security, and prosperity translate into high moral, productivity and profit. The same can be said for customers. In the long run, fair pricing, quality product and customer service translate into loyalty and market sustainability. Unfortunately, short term greed often gets in the way, especially when corporations and the economy are stressed by foreign exploitation and internal capital divergence. Balance is everything.
            Advocates of unregulated laisse faire competition -- the magic hand of self-regulation -- often refer to Adam Smith and the implosion of the Russian empire in support of deregulation while a wave of socialist rebellion demands crippling taxation on corporations and an égalité’ without the means and the productivity to sustain it.
            We can probably achieve the required balance with a common culture and a common will -- but probably not with multi-culturism and open conflict, some food for thought.
With permission from Globalization or Democracy, available soon.
“Adam Smith (1723-1790) was the epitome of the absent-minded professor: introverted and deeply analytical, he exhibited unusual habits of speech, gait, and facial expression, talked to himself since childhood, painting a familiar persona of semi-autism. Smith was born in the county of Fife, Scotland, his father, a senior solicitor and judge advocate, died two months after Adam was born. Raised by his mother, Smith never married but for his intellectual associations. Entering the University of Glasgow at age 14, Adam studied moral philosophy, graduated 1740 at age 17, and entered graduate studies at Balliol College, Oxford with a scholarship. Smith begin public lectures in 1774 and in 1751 earned a professorship at Glasgow; he published The Theory of Moral Sentiments in 1759, a morality based on empathy, earning a professorship at Oxford.
            In 1763 Smith left his prestigious professorship at Oxford for twice the pay to tutor the nephew of Charles Townshend; in that capacity he traveled to France, was a companion of David Hume, years his senior, and met Voltaire and Benjamin Franklin. Smith become more interested in economics and the tension between a free market, laissez fair and mercantilism, drawing a distinction between productive and non-productive labor, a distinction between agriculture and manufacturing versus the employment and consumption of the nobility and the church, the so-called Bourgeois.  That same distinction might be seen today in the employment and consumption of the so called 1%.
            In 1766, Smith's tour as a tutor ended and he returned to Scotland, spending the next ten years writing The Wealth of Nations, wherein he advocated a division of labor between nations, and argued the theory that rational self-interest and competition created a self-regulating economy, an invisible hand that would guide the economy to prosperity. The theory included free trade between nations, wherein each nation's resources and skills could be optimized for the mutual benefit of each. One nation's production might favor agriculture while another silk or textiles, and yet another pig iron and manufacturing. Wealth of Nations was researched, detailed and written in such extraordinary depth as to remove all doubt. One tends to remember only the invisible hand of enlightened self-interest and interpret it as justifying greed.
            The Wealth of Nations, published in 1776: the year of the American Revolution, impacted the world with a view whose timing and impact was profound. Thus, ended an era of mercantilism, dominated by nobility and church. However, the industrial revolution which followed replaced the nobility and the surf with an oligarchy and an exploitation of labor, crueler than the agrarian serfdom that came before.
Indeed, industrial productivity created great wealth and economic mobility for a new oligarchy, along with greater and more open competition. This new economic framework, called classical economics, favored productivity, division of labor over accumulation of gold and silver but brought with it an exploitation of labor, a poverty that grew in proportion to the growth in wealth. Smith was a moralist; he would not have condoned the extent of poverty. Smith addressed these issues but in difficult terms—perhaps his was an assumption of a pervading moral ethic that would contain the excesses. His caution was there, however, if you pause to read it. For instance, in the First three sentences from Wealth of Nations Smith writes,
The annual labor of every nation is the fund which originally supplies it with all the necessities and conveniences of life which it annually consumes, and which consists always either in the immediate produce of that labor, or in what is purchased with that produce from other nations. According therefore as this produce, or what is purchased with it, bears a greater or smaller proportion to the number of those who are to consume it, the nation will be better of worse supplied with all the necessities and conveniences for which it has occasion. But this proportion must in every nation be regulated by two different circumstances: first, by the skill, dexterity, and judgment with which its labor is generally applied; and secondly, by the proportion between the number of those who are employed in useful labor, and those who are not so employed.”
If you read only the first two sentences and do not read the third, you miss the essence of Smith’s caution and concern, a concern re-echoed in his third edition and in his other book, The Theory of Moral Sentiments, 1759, last edition 1790. These later works came during the period of the Scotch enlightenment, focusing on the morality of free trade, “The Real Adam Smith, Morality and Markets” video [1]
            Unfortunately, Smith’s economics, broadly misapplied as classical economics, and the Industrial Revolution, did not lead to a sustainable égalité but became the seed of revolution. Smith, in his last edition, rejected unbalanced free trade and expanded on its problems in his later book, Theory of Moral Sentiments in 1790. Meanwhile in America, the revolution, unlimited land, natural resources, and expansion, prospered with this new formula of free-for-all business and competition. Even today with the failure of Russia’s Communist model, Adam Smith paradoxically reemerges in the US as the gold standard for the classical model, of laissez-fair capitalism.[2]
            Those who view Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations as a magic bullet for free trade and unrestricted capitalism and prosperity should read the 5th edition (1790) and his final edition of The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1790), the year of his death.[3]

[1] The Real Adam Smith, Johan Norberg, a video on YouTube and Amazon,
[2] Bridging Adam Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments and Wealth of Nations John Dwyer, “Journal of British Studies” Oct 2005, pp-662-687

[3] Journal of British Studies vol 44 #4, Bridging Adam Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments and Wealth of Nations, John Dwyer, Oct 2005 pp 662-687

Friday, July 10, 2020

M1 Money Supply

      From October 2019 to May 2020, the M1 grew from 3.9345 to 5.063 trillion dollars, a 28.68% increase.
      The COVID19 stimulus took several forms, some as direct distribution through the IRS. That direct distribution at least went to the buy side of the market. Treasure’s repurchase of bonds, however, flooded the investment market with liquidity. The stock market response is obvious. Given an unchanged valuation of equities, their diluted-dollar value continues higher and will continue to do so as long as credit easing continues.
      Estimated GDP2020 20.140 trillion, divided by M1 5.063 = velocity or turnover rate of only 3.98. So, despite the liquidity in the stock market, the economy is turning over at a very sluggish rate.

Tuesday, July 07, 2020


          Many will have forgotten, and many more weren’t born yet, but our present relationship with China both strategically and political closely resembles the appeasement of Nazi Germany before WW II. Business ties with German manufacturing and profitable trade influenced an attitude in business and the MSM favoring the efficiency of the totalitarian system over the chaos of American politics. Many went so far as to praise totalitarianism as the way of the future. Much of that popular believe was driven of course by German propaganda and what we called a fifth column of German nationals and spies.
            Russian propaganda did not stop with the Cold War. We now have Leftist propaganda from China adding to the cry and complicating our thinking by further promoting animosity between us and Russia. While we look the other way sanctioning Russia, China: picks our pocket, and more importantly strengthens the bonds between China and Russia and the triple alliance between N Korea, China and Russia.
            Now, as China faces financial problems internally, the CCP resorts to old fashion pillage and plunder through the South Pacific and its Asian neighbors. Our response from investment banking to the Oligarchs and multi-nationals resembles that before WWII, with appeasement, business as usual and a commitment to continuing profitable trade no matter the cost to others or the consequences to ourselves.

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Hate and illigitamacy

We have raised a generation, taught the lessons of the Vietnam protests, a generation of fatherless children, raised by teachers, mothers working and little if any home guidance. No wonder, hate, rioting and sexual dysphoria became the default setting for so many, and with limited education, discipline and citizenship, there was little chance to recover.

A hundred years ago illegitimacy was recognized as a problem; it was printed on the child's birth certificate. The churches discouraged divorce as well. Eighty years ago Toynbee studied and wrote about the failure of 26 civilizations. Each civilization grew to meet its potential and failed due to some basic flaw in its nature.

Fatherless children may be our own downfall. How can a child grow up to know how a man respects and deals with a woman or how to deal with men if he or she grows up fatherless. There is a reason nature gave us two sexes and a relationship between them. Even the birds grasp this fact of nature. Without that basic accommodation we sentence our children to a life of violence and hate and ultimate loneliness.

Saturday, June 20, 2020

Liquidity June 18, 2020

As of 6/18/20, Treasury reports tax revenue of 2.090 trillion versus 2019 revenue for the same date of 2.268t, a 178 billion short-fall.

The Treasury revenue serves as a fairly good proxy for liquidity in the market. The 178 billion short-fall suggests a liquidity deficit on the consumer side of the market. The COVID19 reliefs from the Fed went in two directions, to the consumer by way of the IRS and to the supply side by way of quantitative easing to banks and the supply side.

Three trillion went to tax-payers by way of the IRS. Personal  income for April 2020 reflects that distribution.

2020.                            Jan.            Feb.            Mar.            Apr
Personal Income.    19.018t.      19.122.        18.709.        20.675t. (Otherwise 17.675)
Fed COVID Response Program                                          3.0t
Discretionary PI.     16.730.        16.881.        16.532.       18.660
Savings.                                        1.391.                              6.149t

Both of the above mechanisms of pandemic economic relief resulted in an increase in the money supply, M1. The M1 contributes just one multiple to the GDP, which is a product as its name implies. The other multiple, the more important one, is the velocity, sometimes called the turnover rate or just multiple. Economists don’t pay much attention to the velocity and that’s a mistake. GDP/M1=velocity, the rate of turnover or churn of dollars over time. The turnover better represents the energy in the economy. It’s the energy you feel on the street or in the stores. Velocity is the economy of the street.

Yr.         GDP.       M1.        Velocity
2020.    21.34t.     4.8173.    4.23
2019.    21.54.      3.92.        5.49
2018.     18.67.     3.73.        5.01

2007.     14.99.     1.37.       10.93

The Corona virus and our shut down severely arrested the velocity in our economy. It will be interesting to watch the recovery. The Fed struggles to protect our economy by various means. The Fed, however, can go only so far in reducing interest rates and adding to the M1. The interest rates help both the supply side of the market and the consumer side indirectly stimulating velocity. The addition to the M1 through quantitative easing, however, helps only the supply side. Redistribution of Capital through the IRS went to the consumer side. In that regard, the IRS reliefs checks were a very good thing but no substitute for jobs.

You can follow the liquidity numbers daily on:
Or the BEA at: