Hughesair (Inflection Point)

Retired physician and air taxi operator, science writer and part time assistant professor, these editorials cover a wide range of topics. Mostly non political, mostly true, I write more from experience than from research and more from science than convention. Subjects cover medicine, Alaska aviation, economics, technology and an occasional book review. The Floatplane book is out there. I am currently working on Hippocrates a History of Medicine and Globalism. Enjoy!

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Monday, August 30, 2021

Vaccine Logic, Alex Berenson


“Twitter Permanently Suspends Alex Berenson over Viral COVID-19 Tweets” the actual tweet:

“SARS-CoV-2-naive vaccines had a 13.06-fold increased risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant compared to those previously infected, when the first event (infection or vaccination) occurred during January and February of 2021,” the study reads. Those who were vaccinated, the study found, were also at a higher risk of being hospitalized compared to people who were previously infected.”

Berenson worked for The New York Times from 1999 until 2010, and this form of false logic has been present in many mainstream media headlines, a logic that insists that because this is true that is true also.


The NYT, CNN and others use this classic form of false logic almost routinely to advance a kind of perception management that borders on propaganda. With propaganda, the Nazis did not bother with false logic. Tell a lie enough times and most people will believe it. There’s some of that here too politically. The above example comes from a speech at  the Conservative Political Action Conference at the Hyatt Regency in Orlando, Fla., on Feb. 26, 2021. 


Note the two true statements, natural immunity working better than vaccination as well as natural immunity affording a lower risk of hospitalization. These true statements not so subtly imply a negative connotation about the vaccine’s efficacy when in fact the vaccine reduces the death rate from the Delta variant dramatically. Achieving natural immunity by contracting the disease is no way to prevent the disease and demands an unacceptable risk of death especially for older people.


COVID-19 Vaccination - Centers for Disease Control and ...

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/adverse-events.html

Reports of death after COVID-19 vaccination are rare. More than 357 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines were administered in the United States from December 14, 2020, through August 16, 2021. During this time, VAERS received 6,789 reports of death (0.0019%) among people who received a COVID-19 vaccine.

 

The above CDC numbers suggest 3.9 COVID19 deaths per 100,000 vaccinated persons (assuming  all received two shots) compared to 199 COVID19 deaths per 100,000 in the general population. I doubt any statistics other than reported-deaths because case numbers, hospitalizations and incidence of positive tests, all have a wide latitude of independent variables. Comorbidity and unrelated age and illness distort the death tole too, but not as much, and death certificate remains a legal document. 

 



 

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