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Give or Take

Give or Take: The Challenge of the 21st Century An Examination of Social Dynamics, Productivity, and Civilization Introduction In the 21st century, societies across the globe are grappling with a fundamental tension between those who contribute to the collective good ("givers") and those who depend on the system for support ("takers"). With nearly half the population either employed by the government or receiving some form of entitlement, concerns arise that the balance may be tipping unfavorably, putting societal progress at risk. The Roots of Giving and Taking From infancy, humans experiment with the act of giving and taking. A simple interaction—offering and pulling away an object—illustrates a basic human behavior that shapes early development. This fundamental process not only influences individual growth but has also contributed to the evolution of the human species. The dynamic between giving and taking is, therefore, deeply embedded in our nature. The Rol...

Linear Regretion

This not so simple statistics tool can greatly improve your investing outcome if you have the discipline and patints to follow it. Buy below the line. Never sell, or if you must, sell above the line. Good to have statestics on your side.

Silent Voices

Civilizations under pressure often produce voices that crystallize their deepest questions. These are rarely kings or generals, but philosophers, teachers, and public figures who step into the square to provoke. Their role is not to rule but to make society face itself. In ancient Athens, that voice was Socrates. He wrote nothing. He simply asked: What is justice? What is virtue? What is the good life? His relentless questioning unsettled his fellow citizens, and Athens condemned him to death. He refused to flee, insisting that the examined life was the only life worth living. His death turned him into a symbol of Athens’ own unease. Our world has its own public voices. In recent years, Charlie Kirk became one of them. Whatever one thought of his politics, he drew large crowds, not only on American campuses but even in London and among Māori in New Zealand. He thrived on dialogue — fielding questions, sparring with critics, drawing applause. The style was different. Socrates aimed a...

Domestic Labor

A smal incrament of domestic economic activity drives a large increase in the GDP. Vvelocity times money supply equals gross domestic product (GDP). The Velocity in single didgits when multiplied by money in the trillions has far greater effect than interest rates. For many decades, society overlooked and denounced Domestic labord. IRS reporting requirements, imcontax on the worker and social stigma discouraged if not eliminated this valuable segment of the labor force. Tax free, regulation free, domestic employment would add a significant boost to the overall economy, employ the unemployable, and provide shelter to the homeless, not a hundred percent, but to a significant degree. Think affordable houskeeping, cooking, and babysitting for the single mother working long hours.

Existentialism

There are more things in this World Horatio, than are dreamed of in your philosophies Shakespeare Definitions from Oxford Languages · Learn more: adjective relating to existence. "The climate crisis is an existential threat to the world." PHILOSOPHY concerned with existence, especially human existence as viewed in the theories of existentialism. "The existential dilemma is this: because we are free, we are also inherently responsible." LOGIC (of a proposition) affirming or implying the existence of a thing. the existential proposition that truth and reality are constructed fictions" Even physicists struggle with truth. Reality in the laws of physics repeatedly give way to new findings. The James Webb Telescope finds galaxies beyond the time and space of the established Universe. Anthropologists find evidence of civilizations earlier than documented history. What is truth? The use of the word existential as a syndrome for virtual truth begs the question o...

Rick Atkinson

THE FATE OF THE DAY , just released, The war for America QUOTE George Washington. Our conflict is not likely to cease so soon as every good man would wish....Our cause is noble. it is the cause of mankind, and the danger to it springs from ourselves. March 31, 1779

Liquidity

M2 = 22t April 30, 2025 V = 1.383 Excise tax = 312 + 139 m Daily Treasury Deopsits 278 b may 1, 2025 Excise tax = 192 + 37 m Daily Treasury Deposits 45 b May 1, 2024 (DTD) conclusion = market liquidity good for week of May 5 S&P down 0.15% 1414PDT May5 -0.64% s&p at close Fact, Anticipated decrease in trade deficit = decrease in capital surplus, thes decreased investment liquiidity. The market looks six months ahead. The year over DTD increase, refered to as L2 tends to confirm the increased M2 globla liquidity. The V, representing economic activity and productivity still lags badly. That should change with increased demand on Main Street. Cautiously optimistic.

Tariffs versus Capital Surplus

"Trump is Completely Wrong on the Trade Deficit." Let Levin, Sowell, and Friedman Explain. In this interview, Melton Friedman claimed that "deficits are not bad. What's not to like about a capital surplus." In his book Arguing with Zombies, Paul Krugman, a Nobel Prize economist, said, "An end to trade deficits? That's not something trade policy can or should do." The surplus profit earned through cheap foreign labor seeks the most profitable place to go. As the safest and most profitable option, that capital surplus lands in the US stock market. What's not to like about a capital surplus? That fondness intensifies with any threat of it going away, but why would tariffs be such a threat? Scott Bassett, US Secretary of the Treasury, on CNBC's Squawk Box, 4/8/25, said, "If we put up a tariff wall, the ultimate goal would be to bring manufacturing and jobs back to the US. In the meantime, we will be collecting substantial tariffs. As I...

Why the Loss

You Still Don’t Get It   A good effort in the View, it pointed to inflation, neglect of populist concerns, even the Southern Border. Concluding that they did not do enough for the working population, however, that gets it all backwards. They did too much. Get out of the way and people will produce for themselves far more efficiently. — and govern.   Yet there remains another reason for the resounding defeat. In the late sixties, before most of you remember, both Democrats and Neocon Republicans decided, with the help pf Kissinger, Brzezinski, Nixon, Rockefeller, and Carter that the demands of government far exceeded the capacity of the electorate to govern. Their collective solution from the elite insisted that technology, banking, and multinational corporations with international aspirations far exceeded the wisdom of popular demands. Thus, the Trilateral Commission, reeducation of our youth, propaganda, and censorship under the name of political correctness.   Now, we see political p...

Inflation

Many retail investors buy individual stocks with growing confidence in a narket that has a long run. Many fail to appreciate the way the market reflects inflation. Company revenue consists of inflated number,s as does cost and profit, thus the market reflects true inflation which must now be near 100%.

Election 2024

The November 2024 election presents a significant challenge, transcending the traditional Democrat versus Republican divide. This election will determine the future of the American Republic, Western civilization, and potentially the survival of the human species. Plato suggested that democracies tend to devolve into oligarchies, and we are witnessing that transformation before our eyes. Three major trends in the U.S. threaten to replace our Constitution and representative government with a totalitarian, internationalist, socialistic oligarchy. First, seventy years of Soviet subversion, the Vietnam War, and generations of youth who were taught to reject American institutions have undermined U.S. leadership. Now, Chinese espionage, bribery, and infiltration further contribute to the erosion of America’s traditions of citizenship, enterprise, and prosperity. Second, NGOs in Washington, an entrenched bureaucracy, and organizations like the Trilateral Commission prioritize internation...

Utopia

The Devil promises a utopia of worry-free egalitarianism beckoning you to an Orwellian hell of despondency. Its a matter of giving or taking. Work for your family and community supporting the common good, or take from the wealth of those who produce and promise benefits to those who do not and those destroyed by the theft of their own creation.

National Debt

If the Fed were to issue new Bonds at varying maturities, call them P Bonds for people, and use these new bonds to pay down the the outstanding US debt to a functional level, and then credit these P Bonds to all US citizens, it might solve the debt crisis. The American people would own the debt which they already do but would now own the asset and receive the interest. This strategy would return wealth to the middle and lower class from which it was stolen by bad management and return the assets to where it will grow the economy and the velocity of the GDP.

Medical Education

From the perspective of fifty years of medical practice, almost everything the medical bureaucracy did to reduce cost and improve care made it worse. As with any problem, education might best be the starting point. Medical schools must lead the Renaissance of education, six years with a PhD degree and a much more vital role in continuing education and research. There is a need for much more science education in AI, the genome, and quantum physiology. Older physicians should rotate back to their medical schools on fellowships. Research should come in balance with high volume clinical care at graduated low cost. Research must occur in medical schools, not corporations, drug companies, or secret laboratories. Subsidizing medical schools heavily will save wasted dollars elsewhere. The medical school clinics will ensure equal access to all and the highest standard of care. Get corporations out of medicine. A hospital CEO has no business rec...

Economics 101

Lecture 101 1. Gross, Domestic Product a. GDP = V x M1 b. 25.74t = 1.29 x 19.82 x 1012 (t) c. Velocity was 15 as recently as 2008 before housing crisis 2. Sectorial Balances a. S + (Imp - Exp) = I + (Gov Spend – Rev) b. S = consumer or demand side wealth c. I = Foreign and domestic supply side excess profit 3. Capital Divergence / Global Trade a. Decreases Demand Side Wealth (Middle Class) b. Decreases economic Volume (productivity) c. Increases Supply Side Investments & Oligarchs d. Increases Government Spending 4. Elasticity of Demand a. Calculates sales volume / price change b. Critical Margin c. Company w/ narrow margin raises price. 5. Inflation a. Government spending b. Credit easing c. Low interest rates d. Restricting fossil fuel production e. COVID lockdown, pent up demand f. Inherent instability of inflation 6. FED Failure a. Phillips Curve, supply & demand b. Reluctant return to Work, 2/3 stay home c. Depressed private sector. Thriving supply side i. Contradictio...

Inflation Again

supply and demand drives inflation as with most anything else. post COVID supplys were limited, workers refused to return to work, some never. The Fed focused only on unemployment rates (Economists call that relationship the Phillips Curve) and the stockmarket, attempted to control inflation with high interst rates as if the cause was an over inflated economy. The strategy did not work, no suprise. Was the strategy, synical, ignorent or a planed deception. Causes 1 Labor shortage 2 Excess money supply 3 Supply shortage 4 Decreased merchant volumn, defensive pricing (unstable vicious circle in combination) Stock market has more to do with capital divergence and excess profit from massive imports and division of labor, but inflation also to a degree.

Inflation

The Fed containing inflation with intrest rates to the point of unemployment, is like treating pneumonia with blood letting. Try treating inflation by reducing the number of government employees. With weekly layoffs, the Fed could adjust the numbers of layoffs from week to week to achieve what higher interest rates could not. Newly ununemployed would be less willing to pay inflated prices. The Fed could thus achieve an end to inflation, and lower interst rates as well. A lower ratio of government employees versus productive employees in the private sector could be a plus as well.

Wireless Charging

Problems challenge the transition to electric vehicles. The grid lacks capacity and interconecion. The grid fails to keep pace with peak demand and disaster-based internuptions. It costs too much. It takes too long to charge EVs. There are too few charging stations. Burying the grid beneth highways, however, can solve all of there problems. Inductive charging, as you drive over these cables can directly charge your batteries without the infrastructure needed for charging stations. Cables beneath an extensive highway system might better serve connectivity, security, and continuity of the electric grid. Ggovernment subsidies might better support cheap electricity and a vastly improved interconnected grid.

DEI vs the Soul of Medicine

The Soul of Western Medicine The medical profession has a soul, part religious, part scientific, and very much an entangled intimacy. DEI, diversity, equity, and inclusion destroyed the soul of Medicine much the way totalitarian political censorship. Propaganda and political correctness destroyed the Republic. DEI argues, "Poor doctors will better care for the poor." Lawrence Weed, a professor of Medicine at Dartmouth, wrote a book, Medicine in Denial, in which he insisted that much of the excess cost and poor outcome in US medicine resulted from a lack of standardization. He advocated enforceable guidelines and algorithms for physicians and surgeons akin to airline pilots following strictly published procedures. Weed had great credibility as the champion of problem-oriented medical record charting, furthered by an enthusiasm for evidence-based medical care. Decades later, we experience a mindless top-down totalitarian framework for medical decisions that eliminates medica...